Best Supporting Actor

Sure-Things:

Kenneth Branagh, My Week With Marilyn

Jonah Hill, Moneyball

Christopher Plummer, Beginners

Remaining Predictions:

Albert Brooks, Drive

Armie Hammer, J. Edgar

Alternate:

Nick Nolte, Warrior

Long-Shots:

Ben Kingsley, Hugo

Viggo Mortensen, A Dangerous Method

Patton Oswalt, Young Adult

Andy Serkis, Rise of the Planet of the Apes

Brooks, Hammer, and Nolte are neck-and-neck. I’m demoting Nolte because I don’t think enough voters have seen his film, and promoting Hammer because with The Social Network and J. Edgar, he is a star on the rise.