Best Supporting Actress

Sure-Things:

Berenice Bejo, The Artist

Melissa McCarthy, Bridesmaids

Octavia Spencer, The Help

Remaining Predictions:

Jessica Chastain, The Help

Janet McTeer, Albert Nobbs

Alternates:

Jessica Chastain, The Tree of Life

Shailene Woodley, The Descendants

Long-Shots:

Jessica Chastain, Take Shelter

Carey Mulligan, Shame

The critics’ groups are all giving their awards to Jessica Chastain because they can cite all of her many supporting turns in 2011 films. She runs some risk of splitting her own vote, but her Globe and SAG nods for The Help should win out.